Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 4 (Sep 20), 2026-27: Marietta 88%, Otterbein 12% at Otterbein.
Marietta's win probability against Otterbein is trending down — from 92% to 88% over the last 6 updates.
Marietta's win probability against Otterbein is trending down — from 94% to 90% over the last 6 updates.
Marietta's win probability against Otterbein has swung between 93% and 98% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 93% now.