Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: John Carroll 90%, Ohio Wesleyan 10% at Ohio Wesleyan.
John Carroll's win probability against Ohio Wesleyan has swung between 90% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 90% now.
John Carroll's win probability against Ohio Wesleyan has held at 92% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
John Carroll's win probability against Ohio Wesleyan has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.