Texas-Rio Grande Valley at Northwestern St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas-Rio Grande Valley by 23.96
TOTAL POINTS
54
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Northwestern St
UTRGV 
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
64
D
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
62
D-
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
89
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
|
60
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
60
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
85
B
|
RANKINGS
Northwestern St
UTRGV
| 123 #565 overall |
Overall | 50 #238 overall |
| 118 #338 overall |
Power | 49 #190 overall |
| 115 #309 overall |
Offensive | 58 #205 overall |
| 120 #370 overall |
Defensive | 35 #172 overall |
| 34 #171 overall |
SoS (Current) | 49 #190 overall |
| 19 #155 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 46 #187 overall |
Texas-Rio Grande Valley#5092%
Northwestern St#1238%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas-Rio Grande Valley 92%, Northwestern St 8% at Northwestern St.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley's win probability against Northwestern St is trending down — from 98% to 92% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley's win probability against Northwestern St is trending down — from 98% to 94% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley's win probability against Northwestern St is trending down — from 98% to 95% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley favored
Northwestern St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Northwestern St | Neutral | At Texas-Rio Grande Valley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 1 | 94% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 2 | 98% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 3 | 98% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 4 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 7 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 8 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 9 | 92% | 94% | 95% |
RECORDS
Northwestern St
UTRGV
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-8 (0%) |
Overall |
4-4 (50%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
1-4 (20%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Northwestern St
UTRGV
| None | Best Win | #197 SE Louisiana |
| #413 East Texas A&M | Worst Loss | #413 East Texas A&M |
| None | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #386 Texas-Permian Basin |
| 74 pts vs #55 Louisiana Tech | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #21 Texas-San Antonio |
OTHER STATISTICS
Northwestern St
UTRGV
| 20 | Points per Game | 23.9 |
| 44.8 | Points Against | 22.1 |
| 26.5 | Home PPG | 28 |
| 37.3 | Home PA | 4.3 |
| 13.5 | Away PPG | 21.4 |
| 52.3 | Away PA | 32.8 |
| 36-29 | Opponent Record | 30-34 |
| 239.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 266.4 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 8 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Northwestern St
UTRGV
| Oct 24 | vs Nicholls St (3-5) | L27-31 | Oct 24 | at Central Arkansas (2-6) | W30-27 |
| Oct 17 | vs McNeese St (3-5) | L21-24 | Oct 17 | at Incarnate Word (4-4) | L16-41 |
| Oct 3 | at Lamar (6-2) | L14-42 | Oct 10 | vs SE Louisiana (4-4) | W13-3 |
| Sep 26 | vs SE Louisiana (4-4) | L21-52 | Oct 3 | at East Texas A&M (2-6) | L17-20 |
| Sep 19 | at Weber St (5-4) | L20-49 | Sep 19 | vs McNeese St (3-5) | W27-10 |
| Sep 12 | at East Texas A&M (2-6) | L14-38 | Sep 12 | at Nicholls St (3-5) | L28-31 |
| Sep 5 | at Louisiana Tech (5-2) | L6-80 | Sep 5 | at #21 Texas-San Antonio (7-1) | L16-45 |
| Aug 27 | vs Louisiana Christian (8-1) | L37-42 | Aug 29 | vs Texas-Permian Basin (5-3) | W44-0 |