Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Houston Christian 90%, Northwestern St 10% at Northwestern St.
Houston Christian's win probability against Northwestern St has swung between 90% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 90% now.
Houston Christian's win probability against Northwestern St has swung between 92% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 92% now.
Houston Christian's win probability against Northwestern St has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.