Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Loras 52%, Northwestern MN 48% at Northwestern MN.
Loras' win probability against Northwestern MN has swung between 52% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.
Loras' win probability against Northwestern MN has swung between 58% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
Loras' win probability against Northwestern MN has swung between 64% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.