North Dakota at Northern Iowa Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Dakota by 3.83
TOTAL POINTS
62
UPDATED
Sunday, October 4, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Northern Iowa
North Dakota 
|
91
A-
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
93
A-
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
90
A-
|
Defensive |
91
A-
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Current) |
78
C+
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Future) |
96
A
|
RANKINGS
Northern Iowa
North Dakota
| 28 #183 overall |
Overall | 7 #85 overall |
| 22 #159 overall |
Power | 10 #124 overall |
| 22 #161 overall |
Offensive | 5 #96 overall |
| 31 #175 overall |
Defensive | 28 #169 overall |
| 10 #127 overall |
SoS (Current) | 71 #237 overall |
| 6 #124 overall |
SoS (Future) | 10 #139 overall |
North Dakota#759%
Northern Iowa#2841%Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: North Dakota 59%, Northern Iowa 41% at Northern Iowa.
North Dakota's win probability against Northern Iowa is trending down — from 85% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
North Dakota's win probability against Northern Iowa is trending down — from 88% to 65% over the last 6 updates.
North Dakota's win probability against Northern Iowa is trending down — from 91% to 70% over the last 6 updates.
North Dakota favored
Northern Iowa favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Northern Iowa | Neutral | At North Dakota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 77% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 76% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 78% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 59% | 65% | 70% |
RECORDS
Northern Iowa
North Dakota
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Overall |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-0 (100%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Northern Iowa
North Dakota
| #182 Illinois St | Best Win | #230 St Thomas MN |
| #350 Eastern Washington | Worst Loss | #11 Nebraska |
| 42 pts vs #279 Drake | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #230 St Thomas MN |
| 55 pts vs #29 Iowa | Largest MOD | 27 pts vs #11 Nebraska |
OTHER STATISTICS
Northern Iowa
North Dakota
| 27 | Points per Game | 42.5 |
| 31 | Points Against | 27.8 |
| 42 | Home PPG | 53 |
| 17.5 | Home PA | 25 |
| 12 | Away PPG | 32 |
| 44.5 | Away PA | 30.7 |
| 11-11 | Opponent Record | 14-20 |
| 210 | Avg Opponent Rank | 304.2 |
| L 1 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Northern Iowa
North Dakota
| Sep 26 | vs Illinois St (4-2) | W28-21 | Oct 3 | vs Murray St (1-5) | W55-28 |
| Sep 19 | at Iowa (4-1) | L0-55 | Sep 26 | at Indiana St (2-4) | W42-35 |
| Sep 12 | vs Drake (2-3) | W56-14 | Sep 19 | at #11 Nebraska (5-0) | L7-34 |
| Sep 5 | at Eastern Washington (1-5) | L24-34 | Sep 12 | at Portland St (1-4) | W47-23 |