Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Dakota 63%, Northern Iowa 37% at Northern Iowa.
North Dakota's win probability against Northern Iowa has swung between 51% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
North Dakota's win probability against Northern Iowa has swung between 57% and 83% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
North Dakota's win probability against Northern Iowa has swung between 63% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.