Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Northern Iowa 69%, Indiana St 31% at Northern Iowa.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Indiana St has swung between 46% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Indiana St has swung between 52% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Indiana St has swung between 58% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.