Illinois St at Northern Iowa Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Illinois St by 4.75
TOTAL POINTS
51
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Northern Iowa
Illinois St 
|
89
B+
|
Overall |
94
A
|
|
95
A
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Defensive |
97
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
75
C
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
|
93
A-
|
SoR (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
96
A
|
RANKINGS
Northern Iowa
Illinois St
| 34 #189 overall |
Overall | 18 #148 overall |
| 14 #146 overall |
Power | 7 #120 overall |
| 19 #149 overall |
Offensive | 9 #122 overall |
| 13 #142 overall |
Defensive | 6 #117 overall |
| 9 #119 overall |
SoS (Current) | 80 #233 overall |
| 12 #134 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 45 #186 overall |
Illinois St#1861%
Northern Iowa#3439%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Illinois St 61%, Northern Iowa 39% at Northern Iowa.
Illinois St's win probability against Northern Iowa is trending down — from 76% to 61% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois St's win probability against Northern Iowa is trending down — from 80% to 67% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois St's win probability against Northern Iowa is trending down — from 84% to 72% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois St favored
Northern Iowa favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Northern Iowa | Neutral | At Illinois St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 78% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 1 | 75% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 2 | 84% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 3 | 76% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 4 | 88% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 5 | 70% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 6 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 7 | 61% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 8 | 59% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 9 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
RECORDS
Northern Iowa
Illinois St
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
6-2 (75%) |
|
3-0 (100%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
3-1 (75%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Northern Iowa
Illinois St
| #125 North Dakota | Best Win | #180 Southern Illinois |
| #261 Eastern Washington | Worst Loss | #189 Northern Iowa |
| 42 pts vs #458 Drake | Largest MOV | 76 pts vs #606 St Francis IL |
| 55 pts vs #32 Iowa | Largest MOD | 17 pts vs #105 South Dakota St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Northern Iowa
Illinois St
| 24.4 | Points per Game | 35.1 |
| 28 | Points Against | 16.3 |
| 36 | Home PPG | 39 |
| 17.3 | Home PA | 13.5 |
| 15.8 | Away PPG | 31.3 |
| 36 | Away PA | 19 |
| 31-26 | Opponent Record | 23-40 |
| 182.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 304.6 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Northern Iowa
Illinois St
| Oct 24 | at Southern Illinois (4-5) | L17-20 | Oct 24 | vs Indiana St (2-6) | W17-10 |
| Oct 17 | at Youngstown St (6-2) | L22-35 | Oct 17 | at Southern Illinois (4-5) | W35-14 |
| Oct 10 | vs North Dakota (6-3) | W24-17 | Oct 3 | vs South Dakota St (6-2) | L14-31 |
| Sep 26 | vs Illinois St (6-2) | W28-21 | Sep 26 | at Northern Iowa (3-4) | L21-28 |
| Sep 19 | at Iowa (5-2) | L0-55 | Sep 19 | vs Eastern Illinois (2-6) | W49-13 |
| Sep 12 | vs Drake (2-6) | W56-14 | Sep 12 | at Northern Illinois (0-7) | W28-24 |
| Sep 5 | at Eastern Washington (2-6) | L24-34 | Sep 5 | at Western Illinois (4-4) | W41-10 |