Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Illinois St 63%, Northern Illinois 37% at Northern Illinois.
Illinois St's win probability against Northern Illinois is trending up — from 55% to 63% over the last 6 updates.
Illinois St's win probability against Northern Illinois is trending up — from 62% to 69% over the last 6 updates.
Illinois St's win probability against Northern Illinois is trending up — from 67% to 74% over the last 6 updates.