Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Air Force 67%, Northern Illinois 33% at Northern Illinois.
Air Force's win probability against Northern Illinois has swung between 62% and 71% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 67% now.
Air Force's win probability against Northern Illinois has swung between 68% and 76% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 73% now.
Air Force's win probability against Northern Illinois has swung between 73% and 80% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 77% now.