Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Montana 63%, Northern Arizona 37% at Northern Arizona.
Montana's win probability against Northern Arizona has swung between 43% and 70% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 63% now.
Montana's win probability against Northern Arizona has swung between 49% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 68% now.
Montana's win probability against Northern Arizona has swung between 56% and 80% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 74% now.