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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Texas 87%, Alabama-Birmingham 13% at North Texas.
North Texas' win probability against Alabama-Birmingham has swung between 69% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 80% now.
North Texas' win probability against Alabama-Birmingham has swung between 75% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 84% now.
North Texas' win probability against Alabama-Birmingham has swung between 79% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 87% now.