Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Dakota 76%, Southern Illinois 24% at North Dakota.
North Dakota's win probability against Southern Illinois has swung between 52% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
North Dakota's win probability against Southern Illinois has swung between 59% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
North Dakota's win probability against Southern Illinois has swung between 65% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.