Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Dakota 58%, Illinois St 42% at North Dakota.
North Dakota's win probability against Illinois St has swung between 29% and 45% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 45% now.
North Dakota's win probability against Illinois St has swung between 35% and 52% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.
North Dakota's win probability against Illinois St has swung between 41% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.