TCU at North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 1.74
TOTAL POINTS
42
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
TCU
North Carolina 
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
87
B+
|
Power |
86
B
|
|
79
C+
|
Offensive |
84
B
|
|
94
A
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
81
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
89
B+
|
RANKINGS
TCU
North Carolina
| 77 #92 overall |
Overall | 50 #52 overall |
| 43 #43 overall |
Power | 46 #46 overall |
| 70 #70 overall |
Offensive | 52 #52 overall |
| 20 #20 overall |
Defensive | 36 #36 overall |
| 34 #34 overall |
SoS (Current) | 16 #16 overall |
| 24 #24 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 28 #28 overall |
North Carolina#5054%
TCU#7746%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Carolina 54%, TCU 46% at North Carolina.
North Carolina's win probability against TCU has swung between 29% and 51% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 42% now.
North Carolina's win probability against TCU has swung between 35% and 57% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 48% now.
North Carolina's win probability against TCU has swung between 41% and 63% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.
North Carolina favored
TCU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At TCU | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 26% | 31% | 36% |
| Wk 1 | 35% | 41% | 47% |
| Wk 2 | 34% | 40% | 46% |
| Wk 3 | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 4 | 29% | 35% | 41% |
| Wk 5 | 33% | 39% | 45% |
| Wk 6 | 43% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 7 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 8 | 41% | 47% | 54% |
| Wk 9 | 42% | 48% | 54% |
RECORDS
TCU
North Carolina
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-2 (60%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
TCU
North Carolina
| #78 Baylor | Best Win | #51 Duke |
| #52 North Carolina | Worst Loss | #127 Syracuse |
| 56 pts vs #274 Grambling St | Largest MOV | 32 pts vs #128 East Tennessee St |
| 8 pts vs #42 Central Florida | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #10 Notre Dame |
OTHER STATISTICS
TCU
North Carolina
| 23.4 | Points per Game | 24.4 |
| 13.9 | Points Against | 20.9 |
| 31 | Home PPG | 30.3 |
| 13.8 | Home PA | 23.7 |
| 15 | Away PPG | 21.7 |
| 13.5 | Away PA | 21.7 |
| 31-20 | Opponent Record | 32-19 |
| 95.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 72.4 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
TCU
North Carolina
| Oct 24 | vs West Virginia (5-3) | L20-24 | Oct 24 | vs Syracuse (3-4) | L30-31 |
| Oct 17 | at Baylor (4-3) | W17-6 | Oct 17 | at Duke (5-2) | W24-20 |
| Oct 3 | vs #11 Brigham Young (6-1) | L10-17 | Oct 10 | at Pittsburgh (5-3) | W21-17 |
| Sep 26 | at Central Florida (4-3) | L13-21 | Oct 3 | vs #10 Notre Dame (6-1) | L26-37 |
| Sep 19 | vs Arkansas St (4-4) | W31-7 | Sep 19 | at Clemson (4-3) | L20-28 |
| Sep 12 | vs Grambling St (4-3) | W63-7 | Sep 12 | vs East Tennessee St (6-2) | W35-3 |
| Aug 29 | North Carolina (4-3) | L10-15 | Aug 29 | TCU (3-4) | W15-10 |