Notre Dame at North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Notre Dame by 20.43
TOTAL POINTS
52
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
North Carolina
Notre Dame 
|
85
B
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
86
B
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
84
B
|
Offensive |
99
A+
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
89
B+
|
|
88
B+
|
SoR (Current) |
96
A
|
|
89
B+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
96
A
|
RANKINGS
North Carolina
Notre Dame
| 50 #52 overall |
Overall | 10 #10 overall |
| 46 #46 overall |
Power | 1 #1 overall |
| 52 #52 overall |
Offensive | 2 #2 overall |
| 36 #36 overall |
Defensive | 1 #1 overall |
| 16 #16 overall |
SoS (Current) | 24 #24 overall |
| 28 #28 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 37 #37 overall |
Notre Dame#1088%
North Carolina#5012%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Notre Dame 88%, North Carolina 12% at North Carolina.
Notre Dame's win probability against North Carolina has swung between 84% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 88% now.
Notre Dame's win probability against North Carolina has swung between 88% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 91% now.
Notre Dame's win probability against North Carolina has swung between 91% and 96% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 93% now.
Notre Dame favored
North Carolina favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At North Carolina | Neutral | At Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 1 | 88% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 2 | 93% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 3 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 4 | 94% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 5 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 6 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 7 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 8 | 84% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 9 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
RECORDS
North Carolina
Notre Dame
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
1-1 (50%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
North Carolina
Notre Dame
| #51 Duke | Best Win | #25 Wisconsin |
| #127 Syracuse | Worst Loss | #11 Brigham Young |
| 32 pts vs #128 East Tennessee St | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #282 Rice |
| 11 pts vs #10 Notre Dame | Largest MOD | 4 pts vs #11 Brigham Young |
OTHER STATISTICS
North Carolina
Notre Dame
| 24.4 | Points per Game | 41.1 |
| 20.9 | Points Against | 13.4 |
| 30.3 | Home PPG | 45.7 |
| 23.7 | Home PA | 5.7 |
| 21.7 | Away PPG | 36.7 |
| 21.7 | Away PA | 21.3 |
| 32-19 | Opponent Record | 25-27 |
| 72.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 83 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Carolina
Notre Dame
| Oct 24 | vs Syracuse (3-4) | L30-31 | Oct 17 | at #11 Brigham Young (6-1) | L24-28 |
| Oct 17 | at Duke (5-2) | W24-20 | Oct 10 | vs Stanford (4-4) | W58-7 |
| Oct 10 | at Pittsburgh (5-3) | W21-17 | Oct 3 | at North Carolina (4-3) | W37-26 |
| Oct 3 | vs #10 Notre Dame (6-1) | L26-37 | Sep 26 | at Purdue (3-4) | W49-10 |
| Sep 19 | at Clemson (4-3) | L20-28 | Sep 19 | vs Michigan St (2-6) | W27-10 |
| Sep 12 | vs East Tennessee St (6-2) | W35-3 | Sep 12 | vs Rice (1-7) | W52-0 |
| Aug 29 | TCU (3-4) | W15-10 | Sep 6 | #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | W41-13 |