North Carolina St at North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 11.16
TOTAL POINTS
54
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
North Carolina St
North Carolina 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
79
C+
|
Power |
86
B
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
84
B
|
|
77
C+
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
|
74
C
|
SoR (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Full Season) |
89
B+
|
RANKINGS
North Carolina St
North Carolina
| 83 #100 overall |
Overall | 50 #52 overall |
| 70 #70 overall |
Power | 46 #46 overall |
| 60 #60 overall |
Offensive | 52 #52 overall |
| 80 #80 overall |
Defensive | 36 #36 overall |
| 29 #29 overall |
SoS (Current) | 16 #16 overall |
| 40 #40 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 28 #28 overall |
North Carolina#5074%
North Carolina St#8326%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Carolina 74%, North Carolina St 26% at North Carolina.
North Carolina's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 30% to 63% over the last 6 weeks.
North Carolina's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 36% to 69% over the last 6 weeks.
North Carolina's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 42% to 74% over the last 6 weeks.
North Carolina favored
North Carolina St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At North Carolina St | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 1 | 44% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 2 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 3 | 30% | 36% | 42% |
| Wk 4 | 29% | 34% | 40% |
| Wk 5 | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 6 | 53% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 7 | 70% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 8 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 9 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
RECORDS
North Carolina St
North Carolina
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-2 (60%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
North Carolina St
North Carolina
| #43 Louisville | Best Win | #51 Duke |
| #110 Virginia | Worst Loss | #127 Syracuse |
| 73 pts vs #174 Richmond | Largest MOV | 32 pts vs #128 East Tennessee St |
| 26 pts vs #110 Virginia | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #10 Notre Dame |
OTHER STATISTICS
North Carolina St
North Carolina
| 32.3 | Points per Game | 24.4 |
| 28.1 | Points Against | 20.9 |
| 39.8 | Home PPG | 30.3 |
| 24.3 | Home PA | 23.7 |
| 22.3 | Away PPG | 21.7 |
| 33.3 | Away PA | 21.7 |
| 32-21 | Opponent Record | 32-19 |
| 87.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 72.4 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Carolina St
North Carolina
| Oct 23 | at Stanford (4-4) | L28-31 | Oct 24 | vs Syracuse (3-4) | L30-31 |
| Oct 10 | vs #16 Wake Forest (6-1) | L14-38 | Oct 17 | at Duke (5-2) | W24-20 |
| Oct 3 | vs Louisville (4-3) | W31-28 | Oct 10 | at Pittsburgh (5-3) | W21-17 |
| Sep 26 | vs Appalachian St (5-2) | W41-31 | Oct 3 | vs #10 Notre Dame (6-1) | L26-37 |
| Sep 19 | at Vanderbilt (3-5) | L31-35 | Sep 19 | at Clemson (4-3) | L20-28 |
| Sep 11 | vs Richmond (6-2) | W73-0 | Sep 12 | vs East Tennessee St (6-2) | W35-3 |
| Aug 29 | at Virginia (4-4) | L8-34 | Aug 29 | TCU (3-4) | W15-10 |