Wake Forest at North Carolina St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Wake Forest by 3.78
TOTAL POINTS
58
UPDATED
Sunday, October 4, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
North Carolina St
Wake Forest 
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
86
B
|
Offensive |
91
A-
|
|
82
B-
|
Defensive |
88
B+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
89
B+
|
SoS (Future) |
78
C+
|
RANKINGS
North Carolina St
Wake Forest
| 59 #62 overall |
Overall | 26 #26 overall |
| 53 #53 overall |
Power | 33 #33 overall |
| 46 #46 overall |
Offensive | 29 #29 overall |
| 62 #62 overall |
Defensive | 39 #39 overall |
| 30 #30 overall |
SoS (Current) | 24 #24 overall |
| 35 #35 overall |
SoS (Future) | 74 #74 overall |
Wake Forest#2659%
North Carolina St#5941%Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Wake Forest 59%, North Carolina St 41% at North Carolina St.
Wake Forest's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 35% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
Wake Forest's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 41% to 65% over the last 6 updates.
Wake Forest's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 47% to 70% over the last 6 updates.
Wake Forest favored
North Carolina St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At North Carolina St | Neutral | At Wake Forest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 35% | 41% | 47% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 44% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 44% | 50% | 57% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 26% | 32% | 37% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 36% | 42% | 49% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 59% | 65% | 70% |
RECORDS
North Carolina St
Wake Forest
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Overall |
4-1 (80%) |
|
3-0 (100%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Away |
2-0 (100%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
North Carolina St
Wake Forest
| #84 Louisville | Best Win | #66 Purdue |
| #107 Virginia | Worst Loss | #4 Miami FL |
| 73 pts vs #145 Richmond | Largest MOV | 54 pts vs #93 Stanford |
| 26 pts vs #107 Virginia | Largest MOD | 13 pts vs #4 Miami FL |
OTHER STATISTICS
North Carolina St
Wake Forest
| 36.8 | Points per Game | 36.6 |
| 25.6 | Points Against | 23 |
| 48.3 | Home PPG | 38.3 |
| 19.7 | Home PA | 17.3 |
| 19.5 | Away PPG | 34 |
| 34.5 | Away PA | 31.5 |
| 16-9 | Opponent Record | 12-13 |
| 102.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 96 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Carolina St
Wake Forest
| Oct 3 | vs Louisville (2-3) | W31-28 | Oct 3 | vs Stanford (2-3) | W57-3 |
| Sep 26 | vs Appalachian St (3-1) | W41-31 | Sep 26 | at Louisville (2-3) | W30-27 |
| Sep 19 | at Vanderbilt (3-2) | L31-35 | Sep 18 | vs #4 Miami FL (5-0) | L20-33 |
| Sep 11 | vs Richmond (5-1) | W73-0 | Sep 12 | at Purdue (2-3) | W38-36 |
| Aug 29 | at Virginia (3-2) | L8-34 | Sep 3 | vs Akron (1-4) | W38-16 |