Richmond at North Carolina St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina St by 45.11
TOTAL POINTS
56
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Richmond
North Carolina St 
|
92
A-
|
Overall |
76
C
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
79
C+
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
82
B-
|
|
78
C+
|
Defensive |
77
C+
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoR (Current) |
74
C
|
|
86
B
|
SoR (Full Season) |
76
C
|
RANKINGS
RichmondFCS
North Carolina StFBS
| 25 #174 overall |
Overall | 83 #100 overall |
| 72 #220 overall |
Power | 70 #70 overall |
| 81 #242 overall |
Offensive | 60 #60 overall |
| 70 #215 overall |
Defensive | 80 #80 overall |
| 90 #256 overall |
SoS (Current) | 29 #29 overall |
| 80 #233 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 40 #40 overall |
North Carolina StFBS #8399%
RichmondFCS #251%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Carolina St 99%, Richmond 1% at North Carolina St.
North Carolina St's win probability against Richmond has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina St's win probability against Richmond has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina St's win probability against Richmond has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina St favored
Richmond favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Richmond | Neutral | At North Carolina St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 1 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 2 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 3 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 7 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 8 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 9 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
RECORDS
Richmond
North Carolina St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
6-2 (75%) |
Overall |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-3 (50%) |
|
4-2 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
0-1 (0%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Richmond
North Carolina St
| #235 Colgate | Best Win | #43 Louisville |
| #418 Fordham | Worst Loss | #110 Virginia |
| 21 pts vs #544 Bucknell | Largest MOV | 73 pts vs #174 Richmond |
| 73 pts vs #100 North Carolina St | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #110 Virginia |
OTHER STATISTICS
Richmond
North Carolina St
| 20.9 | Points per Game | 32.3 |
| 24.4 | Points Against | 28.1 |
| 21.3 | Home PPG | 39.8 |
| 12.5 | Home PA | 24.3 |
| 20.5 | Away PPG | 22.3 |
| 36.3 | Away PA | 33.3 |
| 22-40 | Opponent Record | 32-21 |
| 322.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 87.4 |
| W 3 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Richmond
North Carolina St
| Oct 24 | vs Colgate (4-4) | W13-6 | Oct 23 | at Stanford (4-4) | L28-31 |
| Oct 10 | at Fordham (2-7) | L14-20 | Oct 10 | vs #16 Wake Forest (6-1) | L14-38 |
| Oct 3 | at Lafayette (3-4) | W40-31 | Oct 3 | vs Louisville (4-3) | W31-28 |
| Sep 26 | vs Furman (2-6) | W13-9 | Sep 26 | vs Appalachian St (5-2) | W41-31 |
| Sep 19 | vs Georgetown DC (3-4) | W24-21 | Sep 19 | at Vanderbilt (3-5) | L31-35 |
| Sep 11 | at North Carolina St (3-4) | L0-73 | Sep 11 | vs Richmond (6-2) | W73-0 |
| Sep 5 | at Howard (4-4) | W28-21 | Aug 29 | at Virginia (4-4) | L8-34 |
| Aug 29 | vs Bucknell (1-7) | W35-14 |