Louisville at North Carolina St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 11.78
TOTAL POINTS
62
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
North Carolina St
Louisville 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
79
C+
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
77
C+
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
|
74
C
|
SoR (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
RANKINGS
North Carolina St
Louisville
| 83 #100 overall |
Overall | 42 #43 overall |
| 70 #70 overall |
Power | 27 #27 overall |
| 60 #60 overall |
Offensive | 15 #15 overall |
| 80 #80 overall |
Defensive | 43 #43 overall |
| 29 #29 overall |
SoS (Current) | 33 #33 overall |
| 40 #40 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 30 #30 overall |
Louisville#4275%
North Carolina St#8325%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Louisville 75%, North Carolina St 25% at North Carolina St.
Louisville's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 53% to 75% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 60% to 80% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 66% to 84% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville favored
North Carolina St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At North Carolina St | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 1 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 2 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 3 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 4 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 5 | 44% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 6 | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 7 | 68% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 8 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
| Wk 9 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
RECORDS
North Carolina St
Louisville
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
North Carolina St
Louisville
| #43 Louisville | Best Win | #29 SMU |
| #110 Virginia | Worst Loss | #100 North Carolina St |
| 73 pts vs #174 Richmond | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #285 Villanova |
| 26 pts vs #110 Virginia | Largest MOD | 3 pts vs #100 North Carolina St |
OTHER STATISTICS
North Carolina St
Louisville
| 32.3 | Points per Game | 38.7 |
| 28.1 | Points Against | 27.4 |
| 39.8 | Home PPG | 42.8 |
| 24.3 | Home PA | 23.5 |
| 22.3 | Away PPG | 31 |
| 33.3 | Away PA | 28.5 |
| 32-21 | Opponent Record | 30-20 |
| 87.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 94 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Carolina St
Louisville
| Oct 23 | at Stanford (4-4) | L28-31 | Oct 17 | at Syracuse (3-4) | W34-26 |
| Oct 10 | vs #16 Wake Forest (6-1) | L14-38 | Oct 9 | vs Florida St (3-4) | W44-20 |
| Oct 3 | vs Louisville (4-3) | W31-28 | Oct 3 | at North Carolina St (3-4) | L28-31 |
| Sep 26 | vs Appalachian St (5-2) | W41-31 | Sep 26 | vs #16 Wake Forest (6-1) | L27-30 |
| Sep 19 | at Vanderbilt (3-5) | L31-35 | Sep 19 | vs SMU (6-1) | W41-31 |
| Sep 11 | vs Richmond (6-2) | W73-0 | Sep 11 | vs Villanova (4-4) | W59-13 |
| Aug 29 | at Virginia (4-4) | L8-34 | Sep 6 | #13 Mississippi (5-2) | L38-41 |