Duke at North Carolina St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Duke by 3.33
TOTAL POINTS
53
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
North Carolina St
Duke 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
79
C+
|
Power |
85
B
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
77
C+
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
|
74
C
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Full Season) |
85
B
|
RANKINGS
North Carolina St
Duke
| 83 #100 overall |
Overall | 49 #51 overall |
| 70 #70 overall |
Power | 51 #51 overall |
| 60 #60 overall |
Offensive | 63 #63 overall |
| 80 #80 overall |
Defensive | 42 #42 overall |
| 29 #29 overall |
SoS (Current) | 68 #68 overall |
| 40 #40 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 49 #49 overall |
Duke#4958%
North Carolina St#8342%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Duke 58%, North Carolina St 42% at North Carolina St.
Duke's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 36% to 58% over the last 6 weeks.
Duke's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 42% to 64% over the last 6 weeks.
Duke's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 48% to 69% over the last 6 weeks.
Duke favored
North Carolina St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At North Carolina St | Neutral | At Duke |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 40% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 1 | 47% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 2 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 3 | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 4 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 5 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 6 | 47% | 53% | 60% |
| Wk 7 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 8 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 9 | 58% | 64% | 69% |
RECORDS
North Carolina St
Duke
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
North Carolina St
Duke
| #43 Louisville | Best Win | #40 Illinois |
| #110 Virginia | Worst Loss | #129 Georgia Tech |
| 73 pts vs #174 Richmond | Largest MOV | 55 pts vs #379 William & Mary |
| 26 pts vs #110 Virginia | Largest MOD | 4 pts vs #52 North Carolina |
OTHER STATISTICS
North Carolina St
Duke
| 32.3 | Points per Game | 29.9 |
| 28.1 | Points Against | 16 |
| 39.8 | Home PPG | 33.5 |
| 24.3 | Home PA | 10.3 |
| 22.3 | Away PPG | 25 |
| 33.3 | Away PA | 23.7 |
| 32-21 | Opponent Record | 24-28 |
| 87.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 124.9 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Carolina St
Duke
| Oct 23 | at Stanford (4-4) | L28-31 | Oct 23 | at Virginia (4-4) | W19-16 |
| Oct 10 | vs #16 Wake Forest (6-1) | L14-38 | Oct 17 | vs North Carolina (4-3) | L20-24 |
| Oct 3 | vs Louisville (4-3) | W31-28 | Oct 10 | at Georgia Tech (2-5) | L25-28 |
| Sep 26 | vs Appalachian St (5-2) | W41-31 | Sep 26 | vs William & Mary (3-5) | W62-7 |
| Sep 19 | at Vanderbilt (3-5) | L31-35 | Sep 19 | vs Stanford (4-4) | W35-7 |
| Sep 11 | vs Richmond (6-2) | W73-0 | Sep 12 | at Illinois (4-3) | W31-27 |
| Aug 29 | at Virginia (4-4) | L8-34 | Sep 5 | vs Tulane (3-4) | W17-3 |