Tarleton St at North Alabama Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tarleton St by 3.57
TOTAL POINTS
53
UPDATED
Sunday, November 15, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
North Alabama
Tarleton 
|
92
A-
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
92
A-
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
89
B+
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Defensive |
93
A-
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
84
B
|
|
94
A
|
SoR (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
99
A+
|
RANKINGS
North Alabama
Tarleton
| 24 #156 overall |
Overall | 1 #42 overall |
| 24 #158 overall |
Power | 11 #133 overall |
| 34 #175 overall |
Offensive | 8 #110 overall |
| 10 #136 overall |
Defensive | 21 #152 overall |
| 39 #176 overall |
SoS (Current) | 55 #199 overall |
| 27 #163 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 50 #191 overall |
Tarleton St#158%
North Alabama#2442%Wk 12 (Nov 15), 2026-27: Tarleton St 58%, North Alabama 42% at North Alabama.
Tarleton St's win probability against North Alabama has swung between 54% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
Tarleton St's win probability against North Alabama has swung between 60% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Tarleton St's win probability against North Alabama has swung between 66% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 70% now.
Tarleton St favored
North Alabama favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At North Alabama | Neutral | At Tarleton St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 1 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 2 | 84% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 3 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 4 | 68% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 5 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 6 | 60% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 7 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 8 | 59% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 9 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 10 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 11 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 12 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
RECORDS
North Alabama
Tarleton
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
7-4 (63.6%) |
Overall |
11-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Home |
6-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Away |
5-0 (100%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
2-0 (100%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
5-2 (71.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
North Alabama
Tarleton
| #199 Western Illinois | Best Win | #107 Abilene Christian |
| #218 SE Louisiana | Worst Loss | None |
| 21 pts vs #518 West Georgia | Largest MOV | 43 pts vs #518 West Georgia |
| 17 pts vs #39 Arkansas | Largest MOD | None |
OTHER STATISTICS
North Alabama
Tarleton
| 23.7 | Points per Game | 39.5 |
| 20.2 | Points Against | 22.6 |
| 27.6 | Home PPG | 44.5 |
| 23.8 | Home PA | 26.2 |
| 20.2 | Away PPG | 33.4 |
| 18.6 | Away PA | 18.4 |
| 52-66 | Opponent Record | 48-69 |
| 243.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 275.8 |
| W 3 | Longest Streak | W 11 |
| W 3 | Current Streak | W 11 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Alabama
Tarleton
| Nov 14 | at West Georgia (1-10) | W28-7 | Nov 14 | at West Florida (4-5) | W31-17 |
| Nov 7 | vs West Florida (4-5) | W28-21 | Nov 7 | vs Abilene Christian (6-5) | W40-27 |
| Oct 31 | at Central Arkansas (4-7) | W14-9 | Oct 31 | vs Eastern Kentucky (3-8) | W28-24 |
| Oct 24 | vs Austin Peay (8-3) | L21-27 | Oct 24 | at West Georgia (1-10) | W49-6 |
| Oct 17 | vs Abilene Christian (6-5) | L28-31 | Oct 17 | vs Central Arkansas (4-7) | W49-35 |
| Oct 3 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-8) | W20-16 | Oct 10 | at Austin Peay (8-3) | W40-32 |
| Sep 26 | vs Western Illinois (7-4) | W23-20 | Oct 3 | vs Chicago St (3-7) | W56-21 |
| Sep 19 | vs Alcorn St (6-5) | W38-20 | Sep 19 | vs Merrimack (5-6) | W45-20 |
| Sep 12 | at SE Louisiana (5-6) | L25-30 | Sep 12 | at McNeese St (5-6) | W27-24 |
| Sep 5 | at Arkansas (4-6) | L14-31 | Sep 5 | at Bowling Green (3-7) | W20-13 |
| Aug 29 | Samford (4-7) | W22-10 | Aug 29 | vs Prairie View A&M (6-5) | W49-30 |