Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 8 (Oct 18), 2026-27: Austin Peay 64%, North Alabama 36% at North Alabama.
Austin Peay's win probability against North Alabama has swung between 64% and 83% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Austin Peay's win probability against North Alabama has swung between 69% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Austin Peay's win probability against North Alabama has swung between 75% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.