Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Abilene Christian 53%, North Alabama 47% at North Alabama.
Abilene Christian's win probability against North Alabama has swung between 36% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.
Abilene Christian's win probability against North Alabama has swung between 41% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
Abilene Christian's win probability against North Alabama has swung between 48% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.