Texas-Rio Grande Valley at Nicholls St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas-Rio Grande Valley by 18.62
TOTAL POINTS
50
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Nicholls St
UTRGV 
|
75
C
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
65
D
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
65
D
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
|
79
C+
|
SoR (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Full Season) |
85
B
|
RANKINGS
Nicholls St
UTRGV
| 80 #341 overall |
Overall | 50 #238 overall |
| 115 #303 overall |
Power | 49 #190 overall |
| 111 #298 overall |
Offensive | 58 #205 overall |
| 113 #310 overall |
Defensive | 35 #172 overall |
| 56 #199 overall |
SoS (Current) | 49 #190 overall |
| 52 #194 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 46 #187 overall |
Texas-Rio Grande Valley#5086%
Nicholls St#8014%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas-Rio Grande Valley 86%, Nicholls St 14% at Nicholls St.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley's win probability against Nicholls St is trending up — from 64% to 86% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley's win probability against Nicholls St is trending up — from 70% to 89% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley's win probability against Nicholls St is trending up — from 75% to 92% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley favored
Nicholls St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Nicholls St | Neutral | At Texas-Rio Grande Valley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 1 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 2 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 3 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 4 | 84% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 5 | 92% | 94% | 95% |
| Wk 6 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 7 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 8 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 9 | 86% | 89% | 92% |
RECORDS
Nicholls St
UTRGV
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
4-4 (50%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
1-4 (20%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Nicholls St
UTRGV
| #238 Texas-Rio Grande Valley | Best Win | #197 SE Louisiana |
| #398 Sam Houston St | Worst Loss | #413 East Texas A&M |
| 34 pts vs #494 Mississippi Valley St | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #386 Texas-Permian Basin |
| 68 pts vs #79 Kansas St | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #21 Texas-San Antonio |
OTHER STATISTICS
Nicholls St
UTRGV
| 16.1 | Points per Game | 23.9 |
| 39.5 | Points Against | 22.1 |
| 23.3 | Home PPG | 28 |
| 35.8 | Home PA | 4.3 |
| 9 | Away PPG | 21.4 |
| 43.3 | Away PA | 32.8 |
| 30-32 | Opponent Record | 30-34 |
| 274.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 266.4 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Nicholls St
UTRGV
| Oct 24 | at Northwestern St (0-8) | W31-27 | Oct 24 | at Central Arkansas (2-6) | W30-27 |
| Oct 17 | vs Stephen F. Austin (8-0) | L0-56 | Oct 17 | at Incarnate Word (4-4) | L16-41 |
| Oct 3 | at Houston Christian (4-4) | L2-16 | Oct 10 | vs SE Louisiana (4-4) | W13-3 |
| Sep 26 | vs Lamar (6-2) | L18-49 | Oct 3 | at East Texas A&M (2-6) | L17-20 |
| Sep 19 | at Sam Houston St (1-6) | L0-59 | Sep 19 | vs McNeese St (3-5) | W27-10 |
| Sep 12 | vs Texas-Rio Grande Valley (4-4) | W31-28 | Sep 12 | at Nicholls St (3-5) | L28-31 |
| Sep 5 | at Kansas St (4-3) | L3-71 | Sep 5 | at #21 Texas-San Antonio (7-1) | L16-45 |
| Aug 27 | vs Mississippi Valley St (3-5) | W44-10 | Aug 29 | vs Texas-Permian Basin (5-3) | W44-0 |