Liberty at New Mexico St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Liberty by 14.87
TOTAL POINTS
49
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
New Mexico St
Liberty 
|
64
D
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
67
D+
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
79
C+
|
|
67
D+
|
Defensive |
84
B
|
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
66
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
RANKINGS
New Mexico St
Liberty
| 124 #250 overall |
Overall | 70 #80 overall |
| 113 #119 overall |
Power | 62 #62 overall |
| 111 #120 overall |
Offensive | 73 #73 overall |
| 113 #119 overall |
Defensive | 53 #53 overall |
| 135 #175 overall |
SoS (Current) | 138 #186 overall |
| 131 #146 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 138 #169 overall |
Liberty#7081%
New Mexico St#12419%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Liberty 81%, New Mexico St 19% at New Mexico St.
Liberty's win probability against New Mexico St is trending up — from 58% to 81% over the last 6 weeks.
Liberty's win probability against New Mexico St is trending up — from 64% to 85% over the last 6 weeks.
Liberty's win probability against New Mexico St is trending up — from 70% to 88% over the last 6 weeks.
Liberty favored
New Mexico St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At New Mexico St | Neutral | At Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 71% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 1 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 2 | 64% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 3 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 4 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 5 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 6 | 71% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 7 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 8 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 9 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
RECORDS
New Mexico St
Liberty
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
6-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
New Mexico St
Liberty
| #222 Western Kentucky | Best Win | #156 Ball St |
| #248 Hawai`i | Worst Loss | #47 James Madison |
| 37 pts vs #548 Mercyhurst | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #156 Ball St |
| 24 pts vs #41 New Mexico | Largest MOD | 7 pts vs #47 James Madison |
OTHER STATISTICS
New Mexico St
Liberty
| 24.6 | Points per Game | 31.6 |
| 25.4 | Points Against | 14 |
| 34.3 | Home PPG | 36.7 |
| 23 | Home PA | 13.7 |
| 17.3 | Away PPG | 27.8 |
| 27.3 | Away PA | 14.3 |
| 19-32 | Opponent Record | 19-33 |
| 244.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 259.7 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 6 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
New Mexico St
Liberty
| Oct 21 | at Sam Houston St (1-6) | W30-24 | Oct 22 | at Kennesaw St (1-6) | W34-6 |
| Oct 7 | at Florida Int'l (3-4) | L3-22 | Oct 8 | vs Sam Houston St (1-6) | W35-3 |
| Oct 1 | vs Western Kentucky (3-4) | W34-13 | Oct 2 | at Delaware (3-4) | W30-14 |
| Sep 26 | vs New Mexico (6-1) | L18-42 | Sep 24 | at Coastal Carolina (2-5) | W34-17 |
| Sep 12 | at Hawai`i (2-6) | L19-29 | Sep 19 | vs Ball St (3-5) | W51-15 |
| Sep 5 | vs Mercyhurst (1-7) | W51-14 | Sep 12 | vs Gardner-Webb (2-6) | W24-23 |
| Aug 29 | at Florida St (3-4) | L17-34 | Sep 5 | at James Madison (7-1) | L13-20 |