Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: LIU 64%, New Haven 36% at New Haven.
LIU's win probability against New Haven has swung between 48% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
LIU's win probability against New Haven has swung between 54% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
LIU's win probability against New Haven has swung between 60% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.