San Jose St at Nevada Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Nevada by 8.96
TOTAL POINTS
47
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
San Jose St
Nevada 
|
68
D+
|
Overall |
70
C-
|
|
66
D
|
Power |
70
C-
|
|
63
D-
|
Offensive |
69
D+
|
|
68
D+
|
Defensive |
72
C-
|
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
72
C-
|
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
73
C-
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
65
D
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
67
D+
|
RANKINGS
San Jose St
Nevada
| 110 #168 overall |
Overall | 104 #155 overall |
| 118 #125 overall |
Power | 102 #105 overall |
| 128 #145 overall |
Offensive | 105 #111 overall |
| 109 #111 overall |
Defensive | 95 #96 overall |
| 108 #115 overall |
SoS (Current) | 95 #96 overall |
| 106 #106 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 94 #94 overall |
Nevada#10470%
San Jose St#11030%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Nevada 70%, San Jose St 30% at Nevada.
Nevada's win probability against San Jose St has swung between 42% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
Nevada's win probability against San Jose St has swung between 48% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Nevada's win probability against San Jose St has swung between 55% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 70% now.
Nevada favored
San Jose St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At San Jose St | Neutral | At Nevada |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 1 | 42% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 2 | 53% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 3 | 53% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 4 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 5 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 6 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 7 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 8 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 9 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
RECORDS
San Jose St
Nevada
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-4 (50%) |
Overall |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Home |
2-2 (50%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Away |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-4 (20%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
San Jose St
Nevada
| #188 Eastern Michigan | Best Win | #168 San Jose St |
| #155 Nevada | Worst Loss | #138 Middle Tennessee St |
| 13 pts vs #299 UTEP | Largest MOV | 35 pts vs #222 Western Kentucky |
| 16 pts vs #122 Fresno St | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #63 North Dakota St |
OTHER STATISTICS
San Jose St
Nevada
| 20.4 | Points per Game | 26.3 |
| 22.5 | Points Against | 22 |
| 17.7 | Home PPG | 29.3 |
| 20.7 | Home PA | 20.8 |
| 22 | Away PPG | 22.3 |
| 23.6 | Away PA | 23.7 |
| 29-34 | Opponent Record | 30-22 |
| 180.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 150.3 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | L 3 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
San Jose St
Nevada
| Oct 24 | at Nevada (3-4) | L13-28 | Oct 24 | vs San Jose St (4-4) | W28-13 |
| Oct 17 | at UTEP (1-6) | W24-11 | Oct 17 | at North Dakota St (6-2) | L17-31 |
| Oct 9 | vs Wyoming (5-3) | L13-16 | Oct 10 | at UTEP (1-6) | W30-13 |
| Oct 3 | at Hawai`i (2-6) | W20-16 | Sep 26 | vs Air Force (5-2) | L33-36 |
| Sep 19 | vs Fresno St (4-3) | L10-26 | Sep 19 | at Middle Tennessee St (4-3) | L20-27 |
| Sep 12 | vs Cal Poly SLO (4-5) | W30-20 | Sep 12 | vs Montana St (7-1) | L7-20 |
| Sep 4 | at Eastern Michigan (4-5) | W27-21 | Sep 5 | vs Western Kentucky (3-4) | W49-14 |
| Aug 29 | at Southern Cal (6-2) | L26-42 |