Montana St at Nevada Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Nevada by 3.41
TOTAL POINTS
53
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Nevada
Montana St 
|
70
C-
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
70
C-
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
69
D+
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
72
C-
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
94
A
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
94
A
|
|
65
D
|
SoR (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
97
A+
|
RANKINGS
NevadaFBS
Montana StFCS
| 104 #155 overall |
Overall | 3 #60 overall |
| 102 #105 overall |
Power | 5 #108 overall |
| 105 #111 overall |
Offensive | 5 #101 overall |
| 95 #96 overall |
Defensive | 4 #115 overall |
| 95 #96 overall |
SoS (Current) | 16 #143 overall |
| 94 #94 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 17 #149 overall |
NevadaFBS #10458%
Montana StFCS #342%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Nevada 58%, Montana St 42% at Nevada.
Nevada's win probability against Montana St is trending up — from 28% to 45% over the last 6 weeks.
Nevada's win probability against Montana St is trending up — from 34% to 52% over the last 6 weeks.
Nevada's win probability against Montana St is trending up — from 40% to 58% over the last 6 weeks.
Nevada favored
Montana St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Montana St | Neutral | At Nevada |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 20% | 24% | 29% |
| Wk 1 | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Wk 2 | 33% | 39% | 45% |
| Wk 3 | 28% | 34% | 40% |
| Wk 4 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 5 | 35% | 41% | 47% |
| Wk 6 | 31% | 37% | 43% |
| Wk 7 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 8 | 39% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 9 | 45% | 52% | 58% |
RECORDS
Nevada
Montana St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
7-1 (87.5%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
4-0 (100%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Nevada
Montana St
| #168 San Jose St | Best Win | #70 Northern Arizona |
| #138 Middle Tennessee St | Worst Loss | #161 Idaho |
| 35 pts vs #222 Western Kentucky | Largest MOV | 54 pts vs #377 Utah Tech |
| 14 pts vs #63 North Dakota St | Largest MOD | 1 pts vs #161 Idaho |
OTHER STATISTICS
Nevada
Montana St
| 26.3 | Points per Game | 39.5 |
| 22 | Points Against | 20.4 |
| 29.3 | Home PPG | 38 |
| 20.8 | Home PA | 25.3 |
| 22.3 | Away PPG | 41 |
| 23.7 | Away PA | 15.5 |
| 30-22 | Opponent Record | 30-33 |
| 150.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 202.1 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Nevada
Montana St
| Oct 24 | vs San Jose St (4-4) | W28-13 | Oct 24 | vs Weber St (5-4) | W38-33 |
| Oct 17 | at North Dakota St (6-2) | L17-31 | Oct 17 | at Eastern Washington (2-6) | W56-20 |
| Oct 10 | at UTEP (1-6) | W30-13 | Oct 2 | at Idaho (3-5) | L34-35 |
| Sep 26 | vs Air Force (5-2) | L33-36 | Sep 26 | vs Northern Arizona (6-2) | W28-14 |
| Sep 19 | at Middle Tennessee St (4-3) | L20-27 | Sep 19 | vs Central Conn St (4-3) | W35-30 |
| Sep 12 | vs Montana St (7-1) | L7-20 | Sep 12 | at Nevada (3-4) | W20-7 |
| Sep 5 | vs Western Kentucky (3-4) | W49-14 | Sep 5 | vs Butler (6-2) | W51-24 |