OK Panhandle St at Nelson TX Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Nelson TX by 3.78
TOTAL POINTS
58
UPDATED
Sunday, October 4, 2026
See this week's NAIA predictions
RATINGS
Nelson
OK Panhandle St 
|
72
C-
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
69
D+
|
Power |
68
D+
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
71
C-
|
|
70
C-
|
Defensive |
67
D+
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Future) |
73
C-
|
RANKINGS
Nelson
OK Panhandle St
| 67 #633 overall |
Overall | 54 #561 overall |
| 75 #674 overall |
Power | 76 #677 overall |
| 76 #675 overall |
Offensive | 70 #644 overall |
| 72 #666 overall |
Defensive | 79 #702 overall |
| 17 #441 overall |
SoS (Current) | 15 #411 overall |
| 3 #414 overall |
SoS (Future) | 64 #623 overall |
Nelson TX#6759%OK Panhandle St#5441%Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Nelson TX 59%, OK Panhandle St 41% at Nelson TX.
Nelson TX's win probability against OK Panhandle St has swung between 27% and 46% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 46% now.
Nelson TX's win probability against OK Panhandle St has swung between 32% and 53% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 53% now.
Nelson TX's win probability against OK Panhandle St has swung between 38% and 59% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 59% now.
Nelson TX favored
OK Panhandle St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At OK Panhandle St | Neutral | At Nelson TX |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 43% | 49% | 55% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 43% | 49% | 55% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 38% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 38% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 31% | 36% | 42% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 27% | 32% | 38% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 31% | 37% | 43% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 39% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 46% | 53% | 59% |
RECORDS
Nelson
OK Panhandle St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Overall |
2-4 (33.3%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus NAIA Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-3 (40%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Nelson
OK Panhandle St
| #659 Arkansas Baptist | Best Win | #570 Schreiner |
| #491 MidAmerica Nazarene | Worst Loss | #482 Wayland Baptist |
| 7 pts vs #659 Arkansas Baptist | Largest MOV | 18 pts vs #570 Schreiner |
| 28 pts vs #266 Howard Payne | Largest MOD | 62 pts vs #244 Incarnate Word |
OTHER STATISTICS
Nelson
OK Panhandle St
| 18 | Points per Game | 21.5 |
| 34.2 | Points Against | 45.5 |
| 20.5 | Home PPG | 30.3 |
| 27.5 | Home PA | 29.3 |
| 16.3 | Away PPG | 12.7 |
| 38.7 | Away PA | 61.7 |
| 17-9 | Opponent Record | 21-12 |
| 429.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 412.8 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | L 3 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Nelson
OK Panhandle St
| Oct 3 | at Howard Payne (4-0) | L16-44 | Oct 3 | vs Wayland Baptist (3-3) | L14-42 |
| Sep 26 | at Texas Wesleyan (3-2) | L16-41 | Sep 26 | at Louisiana Christian (5-1) | L24-69 |
| Sep 19 | vs Arkansas Baptist (2-4) | W35-28 | Sep 19 | at Ottawa AZ (4-1) | L0-40 |
| Sep 12 | at Ottawa AZ (4-1) | L17-31 | Sep 12 | vs Schreiner (3-2) | W47-29 |
| Aug 29 | vs MidAmerica Nazarene (4-2) | L6-27 | Sep 5 | vs Mayville St (4-2) | W30-17 |