MidAmerica Nazarene at Nelson TX Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
MidAmerica Nazarene by 0.93
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's NAIA predictions
RATINGS
Nelson
MidAmerica Nazarene 
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
70
C-
|
Power |
74
C
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
76
C
|
|
71
C-
|
Defensive |
71
C-
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
64
D
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
65
D
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
77
C+
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
78
C+
|
RANKINGS
Nelson
MidAmerica Nazarene
| 69 #647 overall |
Overall | 49 #557 overall |
| 71 #621 overall |
Power | 63 #597 overall |
| 76 #633 overall |
Offensive | 57 #572 overall |
| 69 #617 overall |
Defensive | 70 #624 overall |
| 7 #416 overall |
SoS (Current) | 86 #724 overall |
| 17 #468 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 84 #716 overall |
MidAmerica Nazarene#4952%Nelson TX#6948%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: MidAmerica Nazarene 52%, Nelson TX 48% at Nelson TX.
MidAmerica Nazarene's win probability against Nelson TX is trending down — from 81% to 52% over the last 6 weeks.
MidAmerica Nazarene's win probability against Nelson TX is trending down — from 85% to 58% over the last 6 weeks.
MidAmerica Nazarene's win probability against Nelson TX is trending down — from 88% to 64% over the last 6 weeks.
MidAmerica Nazarene favored
Nelson TX favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Nelson TX | Neutral | At MidAmerica Nazarene |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 1 | 90% | 93% | 94% |
| Wk 2 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 3 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 4 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 5 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 6 | 77% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 7 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 8 | 46% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 9 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
RECORDS
Nelson
MidAmerica Nazarene
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-7 (12.5%) |
Overall |
6-3 (66.7%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus NAIA Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-7 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Nelson
MidAmerica Nazarene
| #678 Arkansas Baptist | Best Win | #603 Missouri Valley |
| #557 MidAmerica Nazarene | Worst Loss | #716 Graceland |
| 7 pts vs #678 Arkansas Baptist | Largest MOV | 41 pts vs #755 Clarke IA |
| 52 pts vs #146 Hardin-Simmons | Largest MOD | 42 pts vs #287 Benedictine KS |
OTHER STATISTICS
Nelson
MidAmerica Nazarene
| 17.6 | Points per Game | 30.9 |
| 36.1 | Points Against | 30.9 |
| 18.4 | Home PPG | 28.2 |
| 34.6 | Home PA | 27 |
| 16.3 | Away PPG | 34.3 |
| 38.7 | Away PA | 35.8 |
| 40-21 | Opponent Record | 28-43 |
| 425 | Avg Opponent Rank | 615.1 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Nelson
MidAmerica Nazarene
| Oct 24 | vs Hardin-Simmons (6-0) | L0-52 | Oct 24 | vs Missouri Valley (4-3) | W30-28 |
| Oct 17 | vs Louisiana Christian (8-1) | L23-31 | Oct 17 | at Benedictine KS (8-1) | L17-59 |
| Oct 10 | vs OK Panhandle St (4-4) | L28-35 | Oct 10 | vs Missouri Baptist (2-5) | W31-17 |
| Oct 3 | at Howard Payne (5-1) | L16-44 | Oct 3 | vs Central Methodist (2-6) | W29-24 |
| Sep 26 | at Texas Wesleyan (4-4) | L16-41 | Sep 26 | vs Grand View (7-1) | L13-35 |
| Sep 19 | vs Arkansas Baptist (2-7) | W35-28 | Sep 19 | at Clarke IA (0-8) | W58-17 |
| Sep 12 | at Ottawa AZ (5-1) | L17-31 | Sep 12 | vs Culver-Stockton (2-6) | W38-31 |
| Aug 29 | vs MidAmerica Nazarene (6-3) | L6-27 | Sep 5 | at Graceland (2-6) | L35-61 |