Hardin-Simmons at Nelson TX Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Hardin-Simmons by 45.82
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's NAIA predictions
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Nelson
Hardin-Simmons 
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
70
C-
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
71
C-
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
RANKINGS
NelsonNAIA
Hardin-SimmonsD3
| 69 #647 overall |
Overall | 16 #146 overall |
| 71 #621 overall |
Power | 3 #306 overall |
| 76 #633 overall |
Offensive | 4 #287 overall |
| 69 #617 overall |
Defensive | 5 #327 overall |
| 7 #416 overall |
SoS (Current) | 114 #527 overall |
| 17 #468 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 80 #452 overall |
Hardin-SimmonsD3 #1699%Nelson TXNAIA #691%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Hardin-Simmons 99%, Nelson TX 1% at Nelson TX.
Hardin-Simmons' win probability against Nelson TX has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Hardin-Simmons' win probability against Nelson TX has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Hardin-Simmons' win probability against Nelson TX has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Hardin-Simmons favored
Nelson TX favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Nelson TX | Neutral | At Hardin-Simmons |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 1 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 2 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 7 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 8 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 9 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
RECORDS
Nelson
Hardin-Simmons
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-7 (12.5%) |
Overall |
6-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-7 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-0 (100%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Nelson
Hardin-Simmons
| #678 Arkansas Baptist | Best Win | #241 Chapman |
| #557 MidAmerica Nazarene | Worst Loss | None |
| 7 pts vs #678 Arkansas Baptist | Largest MOV | 58 pts vs #709 U of Fort Lauderdale |
| 52 pts vs #146 Hardin-Simmons | Largest MOD | None |
OTHER STATISTICS
Nelson
Hardin-Simmons
| 17.6 | Points per Game | 48.8 |
| 36.1 | Points Against | 14.7 |
| 18.4 | Home PPG | 55 |
| 34.6 | Home PA | 17 |
| 16.3 | Away PPG | 42.7 |
| 38.7 | Away PA | 12.3 |
| 40-21 | Opponent Record | 15-26 |
| 425 | Avg Opponent Rank | 482.7 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | W 6 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Nelson
Hardin-Simmons
| Oct 24 | vs Hardin-Simmons (6-0) | L0-52 | Oct 24 | at Nelson TX (1-7) | W52-0 |
| Oct 17 | vs Louisiana Christian (8-1) | L23-31 | Oct 17 | vs East Texas Baptist (3-4) | W63-27 |
| Oct 10 | vs OK Panhandle St (4-4) | L28-35 | Oct 10 | at McMurry (2-4) | W48-17 |
| Oct 3 | at Howard Payne (5-1) | L16-44 | Oct 3 | vs U of Fort Lauderdale (0-6) | W58-0 |
| Sep 26 | at Texas Wesleyan (4-4) | L16-41 | Sep 12 | at UW-La Crosse (3-4) | W28-20 |
| Sep 19 | vs Arkansas Baptist (2-7) | W35-28 | Sep 5 | vs Chapman (6-1) | W44-24 |
| Sep 12 | at Ottawa AZ (5-1) | L17-31 | |||
| Aug 29 | vs MidAmerica Nazarene (6-3) | L6-27 |