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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Memphis 65%, Navy 35% at Navy.
Memphis' win probability against Navy has swung between 59% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
Memphis' win probability against Navy has swung between 65% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Memphis' win probability against Navy has swung between 71% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.