Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Southern Illinois 86%, Murray St 14% at Murray St.
Southern Illinois' win probability against Murray St has swung between 85% and 93% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 86% now.
Southern Illinois' win probability against Murray St has swung between 88% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 89% now.
Southern Illinois' win probability against Murray St has swung between 91% and 96% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 92% now.