Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Northern Iowa 88%, Murray St 12% at Murray St.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Murray St has swung between 77% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 88% now.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Murray St has swung between 82% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 90% now.
Northern Iowa's win probability against Murray St has swung between 86% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 93% now.