Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Eastern Illinois 60%, Murray St 40% at Murray St.
Eastern Illinois' win probability against Murray St has swung between 54% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
Eastern Illinois' win probability against Murray St has swung between 60% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.
Eastern Illinois' win probability against Murray St has swung between 66% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 72% now.