Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: St Ambrose 95%, Mount Mercy 5% at Mount Mercy.
St Ambrose's win probability against Mount Mercy has swung between 87% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 95% now.
St Ambrose's win probability against Mount Mercy has swung between 90% and 96% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 96% now.
St Ambrose's win probability against Mount Mercy has swung between 92% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 97% now.