Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Montana 65%, Idaho St 35% at Montana.
Montana's win probability against Idaho St has swung between 21% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.
Montana's win probability against Idaho St has swung between 25% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
Montana's win probability against Idaho St has swung between 31% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.