Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Coll of Idaho 98%, Montana St-Northern 2% at Montana St-Northern.
Coll of Idaho's win probability against Montana St-Northern has swung between 93% and 98% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 98% now.
Coll of Idaho's win probability against Montana St-Northern has held at 98% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Coll of Idaho's win probability against Montana St-Northern has held at 99% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.