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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Missouri 97%, Troy 3% at Missouri.
Missouri's win probability against Troy has swung between 74% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 95% now.
Missouri's win probability against Troy has swung between 79% and 96% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 96% now.
Missouri's win probability against Troy has swung between 83% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 97% now.