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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Florida 56%, Missouri 44% at Missouri.
Florida's win probability against Missouri has swung between 35% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
Florida's win probability against Missouri has swung between 41% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
Florida's win probability against Missouri has swung between 47% and 93% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.