Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: NW Missouri St 91%, Missouri Western 9% at Missouri Western.
NW Missouri St's win probability against Missouri Western has swung between 89% and 96% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 91% now.
NW Missouri St's win probability against Missouri Western has swung between 92% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 93% now.
NW Missouri St's win probability against Missouri Western has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.