Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Benedictine KS 96%, Missouri Valley 4% at Missouri Valley.
Benedictine KS' win probability against Missouri Valley has swung between 89% and 96% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 96% now.
Benedictine KS' win probability against Missouri Valley has swung between 92% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 97% now.
Benedictine KS' win probability against Missouri Valley has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.