Liberty at Missouri St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Liberty by 22.4
TOTAL POINTS
54
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Missouri St
Liberty 
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
62
D-
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
67
D+
|
Offensive |
79
C+
|
|
62
D-
|
Defensive |
84
B
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
|
63
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
62
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
RANKINGS
Missouri St
Liberty
| 132 #290 overall |
Overall | 70 #80 overall |
| 130 #143 overall |
Power | 62 #62 overall |
| 115 #126 overall |
Offensive | 73 #73 overall |
| 132 #157 overall |
Defensive | 53 #53 overall |
| 125 #139 overall |
SoS (Current) | 138 #186 overall |
| 123 #135 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 138 #169 overall |
Liberty#7090%
Missouri St#13210%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Liberty 90%, Missouri St 10% at Missouri St.
Liberty's win probability against Missouri St is trending up — from 56% to 90% over the last 6 weeks.
Liberty's win probability against Missouri St is trending up — from 62% to 92% over the last 6 weeks.
Liberty's win probability against Missouri St is trending up — from 68% to 94% over the last 6 weeks.
Liberty favored
Missouri St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Missouri St | Neutral | At Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 68% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 1 | 63% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 2 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 3 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 4 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 5 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 6 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 7 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 8 | 86% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 9 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
RECORDS
Missouri St
Liberty
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-5 (28.6%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
6-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Missouri St
Liberty
| #348 Lindenwood | Best Win | #156 Ball St |
| #222 Western Kentucky | Worst Loss | #47 James Madison |
| 34 pts vs #348 Lindenwood | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #156 Ball St |
| 50 pts vs #50 Texas A&M | Largest MOD | 7 pts vs #47 James Madison |
OTHER STATISTICS
Missouri St
Liberty
| 24.4 | Points per Game | 31.6 |
| 34.9 | Points Against | 14 |
| 32 | Home PPG | 36.7 |
| 21.7 | Home PA | 13.7 |
| 18.8 | Away PPG | 27.8 |
| 44.8 | Away PA | 14.3 |
| 24-26 | Opponent Record | 19-33 |
| 195.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 259.7 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 6 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Missouri St
Liberty
| Oct 20 | at Delaware (3-4) | L38-61 | Oct 22 | at Kennesaw St (1-6) | W34-6 |
| Oct 14 | vs Kennesaw St (1-6) | W24-21 | Oct 8 | vs Sam Houston St (1-6) | W35-3 |
| Oct 8 | at Western Kentucky (3-4) | L13-34 | Oct 2 | at Delaware (3-4) | W30-14 |
| Sep 26 | at SMU (6-1) | L24-34 | Sep 24 | at Coastal Carolina (2-5) | W34-17 |
| Sep 19 | vs Marshall (4-3) | L24-30 | Sep 19 | vs Ball St (3-5) | W51-15 |
| Sep 12 | vs Lindenwood (3-4) | W48-14 | Sep 12 | vs Gardner-Webb (2-6) | W24-23 |
| Sep 5 | at Texas A&M (4-4) | L0-50 | Sep 5 | at James Madison (7-1) | L13-20 |