Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Minn St-Moorhead 58%, Minot St 42% at Minot St.
Minn St-Moorhead's win probability against Minot St has swung between 27% and 59% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
Minn St-Moorhead's win probability against Minot St has swung between 32% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Minn St-Moorhead's win probability against Minot St has swung between 38% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 70% now.