Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Minn St-Moorhead 92%, Northern Michigan 8% at Minn St-Moorhead.
Minn St-Moorhead's win probability against Northern Michigan has swung between 85% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 87% now.
Minn St-Moorhead's win probability against Northern Michigan has swung between 88% and 93% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 90% now.
Minn St-Moorhead's win probability against Northern Michigan has held at 92% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.