New Mexico St at Middle Tennessee St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
New Mexico St by 2.28
TOTAL POINTS
52
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
New Mexico St
Middle Tennessee St 
|
64
D
|
Overall |
71
C-
|
|
67
D+
|
Power |
63
D-
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
65
D
|
|
67
D+
|
Defensive |
63
D-
|
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
69
D+
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
61
D-
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
71
C-
|
|
66
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
68
D+
|
RANKINGS
New Mexico St
Middle Tennessee St
| 124 #250 overall |
Overall | 100 #138 overall |
| 113 #119 overall |
Power | 128 #136 overall |
| 111 #120 overall |
Offensive | 122 #137 overall |
| 113 #119 overall |
Defensive | 126 #135 overall |
| 135 #175 overall |
SoS (Current) | 106 #112 overall |
| 131 #146 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 135 #152 overall |
New Mexico St#12455%
Middle Tennessee St#10045%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: New Mexico St 55%, Middle Tennessee St 45% at Middle Tennessee St.
New Mexico St's win probability against Middle Tennessee St has swung between 38% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.
New Mexico St's win probability against Middle Tennessee St has swung between 44% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.
New Mexico St's win probability against Middle Tennessee St has swung between 51% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.
New Mexico St favored
Middle Tennessee St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Middle Tennessee St | Neutral | At New Mexico St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 1 | 48% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 2 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 3 | 49% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 4 | 41% | 47% | 53% |
| Wk 5 | 38% | 44% | 51% |
| Wk 6 | 71% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 7 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 8 | 63% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 9 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
RECORDS
New Mexico St
Middle Tennessee St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-2 (0%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
New Mexico St
Middle Tennessee St
| #222 Western Kentucky | Best Win | #155 Nevada |
| #248 Hawai`i | Worst Loss | #134 Marshall |
| 37 pts vs #548 Mercyhurst | Largest MOV | 24 pts vs #404 Murray St |
| 24 pts vs #41 New Mexico | Largest MOD | 55 pts vs #99 Kansas |
OTHER STATISTICS
New Mexico St
Middle Tennessee St
| 24.6 | Points per Game | 23.3 |
| 25.4 | Points Against | 27.6 |
| 34.3 | Home PPG | 32.7 |
| 23 | Home PA | 21.3 |
| 17.3 | Away PPG | 16.3 |
| 27.3 | Away PA | 32.3 |
| 19-32 | Opponent Record | 22-28 |
| 244.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 177.4 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
New Mexico St
Middle Tennessee St
| Oct 21 | at Sam Houston St (1-6) | W30-24 | Oct 20 | at Florida Int'l (3-4) | W26-23 |
| Oct 7 | at Florida Int'l (3-4) | L3-22 | Oct 13 | vs Delaware (3-4) | W33-30 |
| Oct 1 | vs Western Kentucky (3-4) | W34-13 | Oct 3 | at Kansas (3-4) | L0-55 |
| Sep 26 | vs New Mexico (6-1) | L18-42 | Sep 26 | at Jacksonville St (5-2) | L13-23 |
| Sep 12 | at Hawai`i (2-6) | L19-29 | Sep 19 | vs Nevada (3-4) | W27-20 |
| Sep 5 | vs Mercyhurst (1-7) | W51-14 | Sep 12 | at Marshall (4-3) | L26-28 |
| Aug 29 | at Florida St (3-4) | L17-34 | Sep 5 | vs Murray St (1-7) | W38-14 |