Nevada at Middle Tennessee St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Nevada by 6.11
TOTAL POINTS
51
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Nevada
Middle Tennessee St 
|
70
C-
|
Overall |
71
C-
|
|
70
C-
|
Power |
63
D-
|
|
69
D+
|
Offensive |
65
D
|
|
72
C-
|
Defensive |
63
D-
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
69
D+
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
61
D-
|
|
65
D
|
SoR (Current) |
71
C-
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
68
D+
|
RANKINGS
Nevada
Middle Tennessee St
| 104 #155 overall |
Overall | 100 #138 overall |
| 102 #105 overall |
Power | 128 #136 overall |
| 105 #111 overall |
Offensive | 122 #137 overall |
| 95 #96 overall |
Defensive | 126 #135 overall |
| 95 #96 overall |
SoS (Current) | 106 #112 overall |
| 94 #94 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 135 #152 overall |
Nevada#10464%
Middle Tennessee St#10036%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Nevada 64%, Middle Tennessee St 36% at Middle Tennessee St.
Nevada's win probability against Middle Tennessee St has swung between 52% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Nevada's win probability against Middle Tennessee St has swung between 58% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 70% now.
Nevada's win probability against Middle Tennessee St has swung between 64% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.
Nevada favored
Middle Tennessee St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Middle Tennessee St | Neutral | At Nevada |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 1 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 2 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 3 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 4 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 5 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 6 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 7 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
| Wk 8 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 9 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
RECORDS
Nevada
Middle Tennessee St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-2 (0%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Nevada
Middle Tennessee St
| #168 San Jose St | Best Win | #155 Nevada |
| #138 Middle Tennessee St | Worst Loss | #134 Marshall |
| 35 pts vs #222 Western Kentucky | Largest MOV | 24 pts vs #404 Murray St |
| 14 pts vs #63 North Dakota St | Largest MOD | 55 pts vs #99 Kansas |
OTHER STATISTICS
Nevada
Middle Tennessee St
| 26.3 | Points per Game | 23.3 |
| 22 | Points Against | 27.6 |
| 29.3 | Home PPG | 32.7 |
| 20.8 | Home PA | 21.3 |
| 22.3 | Away PPG | 16.3 |
| 23.7 | Away PA | 32.3 |
| 30-22 | Opponent Record | 22-28 |
| 150.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 177.4 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Nevada
Middle Tennessee St
| Oct 24 | vs San Jose St (4-4) | W28-13 | Oct 20 | at Florida Int'l (3-4) | W26-23 |
| Oct 17 | at North Dakota St (6-2) | L17-31 | Oct 13 | vs Delaware (3-4) | W33-30 |
| Oct 10 | at UTEP (1-6) | W30-13 | Oct 3 | at Kansas (3-4) | L0-55 |
| Sep 26 | vs Air Force (5-2) | L33-36 | Sep 26 | at Jacksonville St (5-2) | L13-23 |
| Sep 19 | at Middle Tennessee St (4-3) | L20-27 | Sep 19 | vs Nevada (3-4) | W27-20 |
| Sep 12 | vs Montana St (7-1) | L7-20 | Sep 12 | at Marshall (4-3) | L26-28 |
| Sep 5 | vs Western Kentucky (3-4) | W49-14 | Sep 5 | vs Murray St (1-7) | W38-14 |