Murray St at Middle Tennessee St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Middle Tennessee St by 26.27
TOTAL POINTS
56
UPDATED
Sunday, November 1, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Murray St
Middle Tennessee St 
|
67
D+
|
Overall |
68
D+
|
|
75
C
|
Power |
63
D-
|
|
76
C
|
Offensive |
65
D
|
|
73
C-
|
Defensive |
63
D-
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
64
D
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
61
D-
|
|
72
C-
|
SoR (Current) |
69
D+
|
|
71
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
68
D+
|
RANKINGS
Murray StFCS
Middle Tennessee StFBS
| 104 #408 overall |
Overall | 111 #177 overall |
| 79 #231 overall |
Power | 126 #136 overall |
| 75 #227 overall |
Offensive | 119 #133 overall |
| 86 #236 overall |
Defensive | 129 #141 overall |
| 5 #111 overall |
SoS (Current) | 123 #133 overall |
| 3 #115 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 135 #153 overall |
Middle Tennessee StFBS #11193%
Murray StFCS #1047%Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Middle Tennessee St 93%, Murray St 7% at Middle Tennessee St.
Middle Tennessee St's win probability against Murray St is trending down — from 93% to 89% over the last 6 weeks.
Middle Tennessee St's win probability against Murray St has swung between 88% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 91% now.
Middle Tennessee St's win probability against Murray St is trending down — from 96% to 93% over the last 6 weeks.
Middle Tennessee St favored
Murray St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Murray St | Neutral | At Middle Tennessee St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 1 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 2 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 3 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 4 | 93% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 5 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 6 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 7 | 89% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 8 | 89% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 9 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 10 | 89% | 91% | 93% |
RECORDS
Murray St
Middle Tennessee St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-8 (11.1%) |
Overall |
4-4 (50%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-2 (60%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Murray St
Middle Tennessee St
| #395 Valparaiso | Best Win | #158 Nevada |
| #315 Eastern Illinois | Worst Loss | #276 Kennesaw St |
| 9 pts vs #395 Valparaiso | Largest MOV | 24 pts vs #408 Murray St |
| 59 pts vs #41 Oklahoma St | Largest MOD | 55 pts vs #122 Kansas |
OTHER STATISTICS
Murray St
Middle Tennessee St
| 14.7 | Points per Game | 23.9 |
| 41 | Points Against | 29.6 |
| 16.8 | Home PPG | 31.5 |
| 35 | Home PA | 27 |
| 13 | Away PPG | 16.3 |
| 45.8 | Away PA | 32.3 |
| 47-33 | Opponent Record | 27-38 |
| 172.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 190.4 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 6 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Murray St
Middle Tennessee St
| Oct 31 | at Illinois St (7-2) | L14-35 | Oct 28 | vs Kennesaw St (2-6) | L28-44 |
| Oct 24 | at South Dakota St (7-2) | L9-42 | Oct 20 | at Florida Int'l (3-5) | W26-23 |
| Oct 17 | vs South Dakota (7-3) | L20-48 | Oct 13 | vs Delaware (4-4) | W33-30 |
| Oct 3 | at North Dakota (6-4) | L28-55 | Oct 3 | at Kansas (3-5) | L0-55 |
| Sep 26 | vs Southern Illinois (4-5) | L6-46 | Sep 26 | at Jacksonville St (6-2) | L13-23 |
| Sep 19 | at Oklahoma St (5-3) | L0-59 | Sep 19 | vs Nevada (3-5) | W27-20 |
| Sep 12 | vs Valparaiso (4-4) | W27-18 | Sep 12 | at Marshall (5-3) | L26-28 |
| Sep 5 | at Middle Tennessee St (4-4) | L14-38 | Sep 5 | vs Murray St (1-8) | W38-14 |
| Aug 27 | vs Eastern Illinois (3-6) | L14-28 |